Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019982 0.023284 0.026929 0.031247 0.036218 0.041755 0.048389
2025-11-09 0.014607 0.018765 0.023785 0.030274 0.038424 0.048299 0.061155
2025-11-16 0.011394 0.015937 0.021864 0.030127 0.041303 0.055844 0.076142
2025-11-23 0.008910 0.013450 0.019801 0.029264 0.042928 0.061844 0.089900
2025-11-30 0.007698 0.012429 0.019462 0.030571 0.047545 0.072335 0.111063
2025-12-07 0.006461 0.011103 0.018404 0.030570 0.050143 0.080148 0.129274
2025-12-14 0.005299 0.009658 0.016885 0.029544 0.050912 0.085170 0.143731
2025-12-21 0.004509 0.008677 0.015931 0.029234 0.052694 0.091870 0.161503
2025-12-28 0.004155 0.008395 0.016105 0.030835 0.057841 0.104589 0.190590
2026-01-04 0.003750 0.007942 0.015890 0.031681 0.061723 0.115533 0.217797
2026-01-11 0.003200 0.007105 0.014825 0.030771 0.062245 0.120553 0.234970
2026-01-18 0.002803 0.006508 0.014126 0.030450 0.063794 0.127540 0.256409
2026-01-25 0.002394 0.005822 0.013163 0.029493 0.064045 0.132248 0.274362
2026-02-01 0.002066 0.005256 0.012362 0.028754 0.064633 0.137669 0.294324
2026-02-08 0.001839 0.004881 0.011915 0.028708 0.066648 0.146133 0.321287
2026-02-15 0.001594 0.004416 0.011191 0.027930 0.066969 0.151132 0.341636
2026-02-22 0.001506 0.004333 0.011348 0.029205 0.072020 0.166647 0.385869
2026-03-01 0.001356 0.004059 0.010997 0.029217 0.074164 0.176080 0.417891
2026-03-08 0.001176 0.003666 0.010288 0.028240 0.073843 0.179984 0.438020
2026-03-15 0.001051 0.003404 0.009873 0.027947 0.075131 0.187672 0.467537
2026-03-22 0.001015 0.003399 0.010144 0.029483 0.081173 0.207067 0.526269
2026-03-29 0.000952 0.003302 0.010146 0.030294 0.085459 0.222714 0.577649
2026-04-05 0.000837 0.003015 0.009567 0.029423 0.085230 0.227343 0.602791